01Key Takeaways
- Kazakhstan imported $61.16 billion worth of goods in 2023, up 97.60% from $30.95 billion in 2022, nearly doubling in a single year.
- Machinery led every import category at 15.76% ($9.64 billion), followed by vehicles at 12.69% ($7.76 billion) and electrical machinery at 9.57% ($5.85 billion).
- China supplied 27.42% of Kazakhstan's imports, worth $16.77 billion, narrowly ahead of Russia at 26.47% ($16.19 billion).
- Much of that import surge traces back to Kazakhstan's growing role as a transit route for goods headed toward sanctioned Russia.
025-Year Trend
| Year | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Value | $39.7B | $22.2B | $27.8B | $31.0B | $61.2B |
03Top Import Markets (2023)
| Rank | Partner | Value | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China | $16.8B | 27.4% |
| 2 | Russia | $16.2B | 26.5% |
| 3 | Germany | $3.2B | 5.2% |
| 4 | United States | $2.6B | 4.2% |
| 5 | South Korea | $2.2B | 3.6% |
| 6 | Turkey | $2.0B | 3.3% |
| 7 | Japan | $1.6B | 2.6% |
| 8 | France | $1.3B | 2.1% |
| 9 | Uzbekistan | $1.3B | 2.1% |
| 10 | Italy | $1.2B | 2.0% |
04Top Import Categories (2023)
| Rank | Category | Value | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nuclear Reactors, Boilers, Machinery and Mechanical Appliances; Parts thereof | $9.6B | 15.8% |
| 2 | Vehicles other than Railway or Tramway Rolling-Stock, and parts and accessories thereof | $7.8B | 12.7% |
| 3 | Electrical Machinery and Equipment and parts thereof; Sound Recorders and Reproducers, Television Image and Sound Recorders and Reproducers, and Parts and Accessories of such Articles | $5.9B | 9.6% |
| 4 | Articles of Iron or Steel | $2.7B | 4.4% |
| 5 | Plastics and Articles thereof | $2.1B | 3.4% |
| 6 | Pharmaceutical Products | $2.0B | 3.2% |
| 7 | Mineral Fuels, Mineral Oils and Products of their Distillation; Bituminous Substances; Mineral Waxes | $1.8B | 3.0% |
| 8 | Articles of Apparel and Clothing Accessories, not Knitted or Crocheted | $1.8B | 2.9% |
| 9 | Iron and Steel | $1.7B | 2.9% |
| 10 | Articles of Apparel and Clothing Accessories, Knitted or Crocheted | $1.7B | 2.7% |
05Trade Partner Map
06Analysis
Imports Nearly Doubled in a Single Year
Kazakhstan imported $61.16 billion worth of goods in 2023, up 97.60% from $30.95 billion in 2022. That is not a typo. Imports almost exactly doubled in twelve months, a jump far too large to explain with ordinary price swings alone. China became Kazakhstan's largest trade partner in 2023, with bilateral trade hitting $31.5 billion, a 30% surge that included a 3.5-fold increase in imports of Chinese light industry goods. Machinery led every import category at 15.76% ($9.64 billion), and vehicles ranked second at 12.69% ($7.76 billion). Electrical machinery added 9.57% ($5.85 billion), the exact kind of Western-brand and Chinese-made goods now flowing through Central Asia in far greater volume than before. None of these three categories are new to Kazakhstan's import list. What changed is the scale, with each one absorbing a far larger dollar total in 2023 than in any prior year in this five-year stretch.
Kazakhstan's advanced semiconductor exports to Russia rose from just $12,000 before the war to $3.7 million in 2022, part of a broader pattern of Western goods moving through Kazakhstan on their way to sanctioned Russian buyers. Kazakhstan's open border with Russia under the Eurasian Economic Union, which eliminates customs checks between the two countries, makes it an easy corridor for that kind of re-export trade. Iron or steel articles added 4.37% ($2.67 billion), and plastics contributed 3.41% ($2.09 billion), both categories consistent with industrial goods moving in transit rather than staying inside Kazakhstan for domestic use alone. Pharmaceutical products added 3.19% ($1.95 billion), and mineral fuels contributed 2.97% ($1.82 billion), a modest figure for a country that exports oil at a scale roughly 25 times larger. Apparel not knitted or crocheted added 2.94% ($1.80 billion), and its knitted counterpart contributed 2.71% ($1.66 billion), clothing categories that rarely rank this high in an economy built around heavy industry and raw materials rather than consumer retail.
China Overtakes Russia as Kazakhstan's Top Supplier, But Barely
China supplied 27.42% of Kazakhstan's imports in 2023, worth $16.77 billion, narrowly ahead of Russia at 26.47% ($16.19 billion). Those two neighbors alone made up more than half of everything Kazakhstan imported. Germany ranked a distant third at 5.15% ($3.15 billion), rounding out a top three that made up 59.05% of total import value.
United States added 4.18% ($2.56 billion), and South Korea contributed 3.61% ($2.21 billion). Turkey supplied 3.34% ($2.04 billion), and Japan added 2.62% ($1.60 billion). France contributed 2.12% ($1.30 billion), and Uzbekistan added 2.11% ($1.29 billion), Kazakhstan's Central Asian neighbor. Italy closed out the top ten at 2.02% ($1.24 billion), a modest import figure next to how large Italy looms on the export side of Kazakhstan's trade through its oil field stakes. That gap between Italy's export ranking and its import ranking is a useful reminder that a single country's two trade totals rarely tell the same story. One side reflects who owns the oil in the ground. The other reflects who ships in machinery, cars and consumer goods, and those tend to be very different groups of countries.
A Five-Year Trend That Broke Sharply From Its Own Pattern in 2023
Kazakhstan's import total followed a fairly ordinary path for four straight years before 2023 blew past all of it. It stood at $39.71 billion in 2019, then fell to $22.16 billion in 2020 as the pandemic froze global trade. It recovered to $27.75 billion in 2021, then climbed modestly to $30.95 billion in 2022. None of those years came close to preparing anyone for what came next. The 2023 total of $61.16 billion is nearly double the highest point this five-year stretch had reached before.
A jump this size, arriving the year after major sanctions reshaped trade routes across the region, points to something structural rather than cyclical. Kazakhstan's export total grew only modestly over these same years, which makes the import side's sudden leap stand out even more sharply by comparison. Whatever happens to sanctions enforcement and Kazakhstan's own screening rules going forward will likely show up first and most clearly in numbers like this one. Kazakhstan has said publicly that it intends to tighten scrutiny of goods passing through its territory toward Russia, a policy shift that would show up as a leveling off or reversal in future years of this same import series if it takes hold. For now, the 2023 total stands as the clearest single data point showing how much the regional trade map shifted in a very short window of time.